SKYD · sample dossier
Skydance Corporation
27/100
AgingGenerated Nov 7, 2026 · 11:00 AM UTC · 1 day ago
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EquitySkydance Corporation · XNYS
Decision context
Recommendation
Weighed down by weak Momentum (6/100) and Growth (6/100) scores.
A cautious picture — if you own it, consider taking some off.
AlphaDog Fair Value
Executive thesis & key metrics
Executive Investment Thesis
Skydance Corporation is an entertainment and media company capitalized at $40.39B with an EV/EBITDA multiple of 7.43 and a Price/Book of 0.76. Contraction in fundamentals supports a cautious posture, evidenced by quarterly revenue declining -3.9% YoY, EPS collapsing -81.8% YoY, and a negative net margin of -2.1%. The primary operational and balance sheet risk is financial leverage reflected in a Debt/Equity ratio of 1.26 alongside a 1-year share price drawdown of -46.9%.
Key Metrics to Watch
What changed recently
Why this rating
Score 27 · Sell
Data through
AgingJun 30, 2026
Composite 27/100 — weak across most factors.
Re-evaluate if
- Severe accounting disclosures (auditor / restatement / going concern) in SEC filings
- Net margin falls below -2.6% (was -2.1%)
- Debt/Equity expands beyond the current multiple of 1.26.
Trim / reconsider if
- ROA falls below 1.8% (was 2.7%)
Think of these dollars as a map of our value estimate for Sell — helpful context, not a reason to override the view.
A Calmer Look · Devil's Advocate
A second set of eyes on Skydance Corporation
The prevailing consensus verdict to 'Sell' over-indexes on backward-looking transaction noise while dismissing underlying cash-flow stability.
May be overlooked
Bears treat the 66.2% YoY dilution as continuous equity dilution rather than a discrete recapitalization tied to the August 2025 transaction and 195.8M insider incentive shares granted in October 2026.
Consensus dismisses positive TTM FCF per share of $0.53 due to the -2.1% net margin, ignoring that non-cash fair value adjustments and the historical $5.98B goodwill impairment heavily distorted GAAP profitability.
Both bull and bear camps rely on Q2 2026 financial statements that are over 90 days stale as of November 7, 2026, obscuring post-integration operating run-rates.
Expectations look stretched
Bull reliance on a 0.76x Price/Book multiple assumes reliable equity backing, ignoring that restated subscriber counts in the February 2026 8-K signal lingering uncertainty in reported carrying values.
Bullish upside forecasts of up to 28% assume revenue stabilization, ignoring that quarterly revenue fell 6.0% QoQ to $6.91B alongside a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9.
Bulls extrapolate gross margin defense at 33.3% into pricing power, overlooking that ROA sits at just 2.7%.
Revenue growth falls below -3.9% YoY in subsequent quarterly reporting.
Revenue growth falls below -3.9% YoY in subsequent quarterly reporting.
Monitor These Triggers
2 Checkpoints · Next PrintMarket context
Snapshot returns at report publication
1 month
-13.7%
3 months
-13.6%
6 months
-27.8%
1 year
-46.9%
At a Glance
A large company is in a pullback at unprofitable earnings.
Top Holders
As of Sep 30, 2026Financial trajectory
Financial Performance
Go deeper
For learning and research only — not investment advice. AlphaDog doesn’t hold stocks and isn’t your financial advisor.
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