PLTR · sample dossier
PLTR
73/100
OutdatedGenerated Aug 9, 2026 · 12:17 AM UTC · 89 days ago
This copy is frozen (Aug 9). Sign in to run the same work — filings, valuation, bull and bear, sources — on any US stock or ETF, in about 90 seconds.
Run a fresh dossierPLTR
EquityPublic company
Decision context
Recommendation
Driven by superior Growth (100/100) and Safety (94/100) scores.
More going for it than against it — worth a closer look.
AlphaDog Fair Value
Executive thesis & key metrics
Executive Investment Thesis
PLTR is an enterprise software company with a market cap of $413.35B and an 84.8% gross margin. The Buy verdict is supported by high growth, with revenue growing 92.8% YoY and EPS growing 215.4% YoY alongside a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.02. However, valuation risk is significant as the stock trades at a P/E ratio of 147.02 and EV/EBITDA of 151.83.
Key Metrics to Watch
What changed recently
No material changes found in the last 30 days.
Why this rating
price $172.01 is above buy-below $36.56
Data through
OutdatedJun 30, 2026
Growth 100/100 and momentum 94/100 lead the thesis.
Re-evaluate if
- Net margin falls below 39.2% (was 49.0%)
- Revenue growth YoY falls below 92.8%
- Gross margin falls below 84.8%
Trim / reconsider if
- ROA falls below 11.2% (was 17.3%)
- Net margin contracts below 49.0%.
- Debt/Equity rises above 0.02.
These dollars come from our value estimate and help sketch entry and exit zones. They’re a guide, not a trade order.
A Calmer Look · Devil's Advocate
The consensus Buy verdict and $413.35B market cap rely on extreme extrapolation, ignoring that PLTR trades at a 147.0 P/E, 151.8 EV/EBITDA, and 42.2 P/B ratio.
May be overlooked
Consensus analysis relies on financial disclosures from the 2026-02-17 10-K filing that are stale by over 170 days as of August 9, 2026.
Neither side evaluates customer concentration risks or contract duration underlying the 92.8% YoY revenue growth in government and commercial segments.
The report ignores mean-reversion risks to the 49.0% net margin as scaling sales organizations and computing infrastructure costs expand.
Expectations look stretched
Extrapolating 215.4% YoY EPS growth into perpetuity while valuing PLTR at 147.0 P/E and 151.8 EV/EBITDA assumes zero operational missteps or competitive erosion.
Bulls price PLTR at a P/B ratio of 42.2 off a recent 33.3% 1-month momentum run, leaving the stock vulnerable to severe multiple compression on any growth deceleration.
Assuming commercial platform expansion will sustain hyper-growth despite key insiders executing $184,395 in net sales across 15 transactions over the trailing 3 months.
YoY revenue growth drops below 92.8%.
YoY revenue growth drops below 92.8%.
Market context
Snapshot returns at report publication
1 month
+33.3%
3 months
+25.5%
6 months
+32.3%
1 year
—
At a Glance
A very large company is on a steady trend at premium pricing.
Top Holders
Go deeper
For learning and research only — not investment advice. AlphaDog doesn’t hold stocks and isn’t your financial advisor.
Run the next one yourself.
You just read a full PLTR dossier — scored verdict, valuation, and both sides, with sources. Sign in to run that on a name you hold, on current filings. A free account includes 10 credits a week, 1 per fresh run.