ODD · sample dossier
ODDITY Tech Ltd. Class A Ordinary Shares
40/100
OutdatedGenerated Sep 5, 2026 · 10:00 AM UTC · 62 days ago
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EquityODDITY Tech Ltd. Class A Ordinary Shares · XNAS
Decision context
Recommendation
Weighed down by weak Growth (0/100) and Momentum (9/100) scores.
A cautious picture — if you own it, consider taking some off.
AlphaDog Fair Value
Executive thesis & key metrics
Executive Investment Thesis
ODDITY Tech Ltd. is a consumer tech-beauty company trading at a market capitalization of $634.21M and a share price of $13.75, backed by a 71.1% gross margin. A Reduce stance is warranted by severe fundamental deterioration, evidenced by a -26.2% YoY revenue decline, a -160.3% YoY EPS contraction, and an elevated Debt/Equity multiple of 2.04. The primary downside risk is severe cash burn alongside a 1-year price return drawdown of -77.9%, compounded by negative free cash flow per share of -$1.72.
Key Metrics to Watch
What changed recently
No material changes found in the last 30 days.
Why this rating
Score 40 · Sell
Data through
OutdatedMar 31, 2026
Composite 40/100 — weak across most factors.
Levels unavailable — AlphaDog quantitative valuation model did not produce an estimate from comps or DCF
Re-evaluate if
- Net margin falls below 5.6% (was 7.0%)
- Debt/Equity decreases below 2.04.
Trim / reconsider if
- ROA falls below 2.6% (was 4.0%)
- Debt/Equity rises above 2.04.
Think of these dollars as a map of our value estimate for Sell — helpful context, not a reason to override the view.
A Calmer Look · Devil's Advocate
The consensus Reduce stance and unanimous bear ruling rely excessively on backward-looking metrics, extrapolating the -77.9% 1-year price drawdown and -$1.72 FCF per share into an inevitability of insolvency.
May be overlooked
The bear consensus fixates on the 2.04 Debt/Equity ratio without evaluating debt structure or liquidity runway, ignoring that the Altman Z-score of 2.57 sits comfortably above the 1.81 insolvency distress line.
Consensus treats trailing free cash flow per share of -$1.72 as permanent operational cash burn, ignoring that net margin remains positive at 7.0% and gross margin is stable at 71.1%.
Both the debate and synthesis rely on stale financial reporting from March 2026 (exceeding the 90-day threshold as of 2026-09-05), blinding analysts to whether cash burn moderated during the recent 40.2% 3-month price rebound.
Expectations look stretched
Bull arguments treat the 40.2% 3-month price rebound as operational recovery, ignoring that price remains below both the 50-day and 200-day moving averages with 1-month momentum slowing to 1.7%.
Bulls extrapolate the 71.1% gross margin as an impervious competitive moat, disregarding that operating deleverage crushed ROA down to 4.0% and drove an EPS contraction of -160.3% YoY.
The bull valuation case presumes the 17.86 P/E is cheap, overlooking that rapid earnings contraction can quickly inflate this multiple if net margin slips below 7.0%.
Revenue growth YoY improves above -26.2%.
Revenue growth YoY improves above -26.2%.
Monitor These Triggers
3 Checkpoints · Next PrintRevenue Growth YoY (current baseline: -26.2%)
Market context
Snapshot returns at report publication
1 month
+1.7%
3 months
+40.2%
6 months
-3.1%
1 year
-77.9%
At a Glance
A smaller company is in a pullback at fair pricing.
Top Holders
Financial trajectory
Financial Performance
Go deeper
For learning and research only — not investment advice. AlphaDog doesn’t hold stocks and isn’t your financial advisor.
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