MCFT · sample dossier
MasterCraft Boat Holdings, Inc. Common Stock
46/100
OutdatedGenerated Sep 5, 2026 · 10:00 AM UTC · 61 days ago
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EquityMasterCraft Boat Holdings, Inc. Common Stock · XNAS
Decision context
Recommendation
Balanced between moderate Value (62/100) and constrained Growth (13/100).
A mixed picture — no strong reason to buy or sell right now.
AlphaDog Fair Value
Executive thesis & key metrics
Executive Thesis
MasterCraft Boat Holdings, Inc. (MCFT) designs and manufactures recreational powerboats with a market capitalization of $584.97M and a current share price of $24.15, generating a 23.1% gross margin and an EV/EBITDA multiple of 14.96.
Key Metrics to Watch
What changed recently
No material changes found in the last 30 days.
Why this rating
Score 46 · Hold
Data through
OutdatedMar 31, 2026
Composite 46/100 — no single factor above 75 dominates.
Re-evaluate if
- Net margin falls below 3.0% (was 3.7%)
Trim / reconsider if
- ROA falls below 1.7% (was 2.6%)
Think of these dollars as a map of our value estimate for Hold — helpful context, not a reason to override the view.
A Calmer Look · Devil's Advocate
The prevailing consensus that MCFT warrants a balanced 'Hold' dangerously understates the operational degradation facing this cyclical recreational boat manufacturer.
May be overlooked
Balance sheet debt structure is completely obscured, as the Debt/Equity ratio is omitted from public reporting despite thin 3.7% net margins leaving zero room for debt service errors.
Severe negative operating leverage remains unanalyzed
a nominal 3.0% YoY revenue increase failed to prevent a -121.7% YoY collapse in EPS and a quarterly loss of -$0.05 per share.
Data freshness blind spot
core earnings results are more than 150 days stale (dated 2026-03-31), leaving investors blind to second-quarter recreational marine dealer inventory buildups and retail price discounting.
Expectations look stretched
Multiple expansion overoptimism
assigning a premium trailing P/E of 35.00—far above peer Winnebago Industries at 22.8—to an asset delivering negative quarterly EPS of -$0.05.
Over-weighting insider signaling
treating $1.06M in cluster buying as a definitive turnaround thesis breaker when it accounts for merely 0.18% of the company's $584.97M market cap.
Gross margin complacency
assuming gross margins will hold at 23.1% to turn EPS positive, ignoring fixed-cost de-leveraging when boat volumes stall.
Gross margin declines below the current 23.1% level.
Gross margin declines below the current 23.1% level.
Monitor These Triggers
3 Checkpoints · Next PrintEPS Growth YoY (baseline: -121.7%) and Net Margin (baseline: 3.7%) to gauge whether operating deleveraging is reversing.
Market context
Snapshot returns at report publication
1 month
-1.0%
3 months
+9.9%
6 months
+22.4%
1 year
+6.8%
At a Glance
A smaller company has mixed momentum at growth-style pricing.
Top Holders
Financial trajectory
Financial Performance
Go deeper
For learning and research only — not investment advice. AlphaDog doesn’t hold stocks and isn’t your financial advisor.
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