GM · sample dossier
General Motors Company
44/100
Stale StatementsGenerated Oct 17, 2026 · 10:00 AM UTC · 2 hours ago
This copy is frozen (Oct 17). Sign in to run the same work — filings, valuation, bull and bear, sources — on any US stock or ETF, in about 90 seconds.
Run a fresh dossierGM
EquityGeneral Motors CompanyXNYS
Decision context
AVOID
70% convictionScore 44 · Avoid
Downsides look heavier than upsides — we wouldn’t start a new position.
No estimated value range on this report
Current price
$83.96
Estimated value range
—
Gap (vs price at analysis)
—
Narrow evidence — range rests on a single usable method.
Estimated value range is unavailable for this instrument.
Market context
Price
Price when available
Pick how far back the chart looks
1 month
-3.1%
3 months
+10.8%
6 months
+3.2%
1 year
+45.3%
Financial trajectory
Executive summary & thesis
General Motors Company (GM) operates as an automotive manufacturer with a market capitalization of $73.67B, trading at an EV/EBITDA multiple of 10.90 and a P/E ratio of 37.65.
- GM trades at a conservative Price/Book ratio of 1.19, providing tangible asset protection compared to peer valuations.
- The stock generated a 45.3% 1-year return heading into October 17, 2026, maintaining its technical position above the 200-day moving average.
- Automotive revenue expanded to $83,111M for the six months ended June 30, 2026, up from $82,730M year-over-year.
- Financial distress risks are pronounced with an Altman Z-score of 1.26 in distress territory and an elevated Debt/Equity multiple of 2.02.
- Profitability deteriorated sharply as latest quarter YoY EPS contracted by -26.2% on June 30, 2026, depressing net margin to 1.1%.
- Insiders executed -$33.13M in net sales across 43,942 shares during the three-month period ending October 17, 2026.
Things to keep in mind
- 1P/E 37.7xView source
- 2Debt/Equity 2.02View source
- 3Net margin 1.1%View source
What to watch next
What changed recently
No material changes found in the last 30 days.
Why this rating
Score 44 · Avoid
Data through
Stale StatementsJun 30, 2026
A newer quarter has been reported and is not in these statements. The rating is capped at Hold until the statements catch up.
Factor profile
Balanced operator
| Factor | Score |
|---|---|
| Quality | 36 out of 100 (Weak). Business health — profits, returns, and consistency. Higher means a more durable company. |
| Growth | 12 out of 100 (Weak). How fast sales and earnings are rising. Higher means the business is expanding faster. |
| Value | 68 out of 100 (Neutral). How cheap the stock looks for what you get. Higher means a more attractive price. |
| Safety | 47 out of 100 (Neutral). Balance-sheet cushion and fewer red flags. Higher means less risk of a nasty surprise. |
| Momentum | 61 out of 100 (Neutral). Recent share-price trend. Higher means buyers have been in control lately. |
Another way to look at it
What the optimistic case might still be missing about General Motors Company
The prevailing debate exhibits dangerous complacency by accepting the premise that General Motors can engineer a margin recovery while ignoring severe operational deterioration.
Despite the stock's 45.3% 1-year runup, trading at an inflated P/E multiple of 37.7, trailing net margin has withered to a razor-thin 1.1% and ROA sits at just 2.2%. The consensus report unthinkingly relies on an unverified catalyst assumption that margin expansion will materialize over the next 6 to 12 months, directly contradicting the stale June 30, 2026 quarter where operating income plunged 31.4% from $2,127M to $1,459M on anemic 1.9% revenue growth. Furthermore, the bull debate's central pillar claiming $25.00 in FCF per share is completely detached from the synthesis report's forensic TTM FCF figure of $0.66 per share, a massive discrepancy left wholly unchallenged by the panel. With an Altman Z-score of 1.26 deeply embedded in the distress zone and a Debt/Equity ratio of 2.0, the market is pricing GM as an earnings-recovery play when its capital structure possesses zero margin of safety against cyclical credit shocks. Fading this momentum is warranted as negative operating leverage overwhelms the narrative.
Unchallenged FCF discrepancy
Bull advocates anchored their case on a claimed $25.00 TTM FCF per share, completely ignoring the synthesis report's forensic metric of $0.66 TTM FCF per share against the $83.96 share price.
Captive finance debt conflation
Neither bulls nor bears disaggregated GM Financial's financing debt from industrial operational debt within the 2.02 Debt/Equity ratio, creating an unvetted blind spot around wholesale auto loan credit performance.
Stale quarterly fundamentals
The entire fundamental debate relies on financial data from the quarter ended June 30, 2026, which is over 90 days stale as of October 17, 2026, obscuring recent Q3 operating trajectory.
Multiple expansion on contracting earnings
GM trades at a P/E of 37.7 despite latest quarter YoY EPS collapsing by -26.2% and TTM net margin compressing to 1.1%.
Extrapolation of price momentum over deteriorating technicals: Bulls celebrate a 45.3% 1-year return while disregarding that GM has broken below its 50-day moving average with a -3.1% 1-month return.
Unfounded margin expansion catalyst
Consensus assumes 6-to-12 month margin stabilization despite operating income falling from $2,127M to $1,459M on gross margins of only 10.2%.
Latest quarter YoY EPS growth recovers above -26.2%.
TTM net margin improves above 1.1%.
Cash after investing
See whether General Motors Company still makes cash after it spends to grow.
- Latest quarter YoY EPS growth recovers above -26.2%.
- TTM net margin improves above 1.1%.
- Debt/Equity ratio declines below 2.02.
Monitor these triggers
3 checkpoints before the next earnings print
Latest quarter YoY EPS growth monitored against the June 30, 2026 baseline of -26.2%.
Gross margin compresses below 10.2%.
Latest quarter YoY revenue growth drops below 1.9%.
Debt/Equity ratio rises above 2.02.
For learning and research only — not investment advice. AlphaDog doesn’t hold stocks and isn’t your financial advisor.
Run the next one yourself.
You just read a full GM dossier — scored verdict, valuation, and both sides, with sources. Sign in to run that on a name you hold, on current filings. A free account includes 10 credits a week, 1 per fresh run.