CVX · sample dossier
Chevron Corporation
47/100
OutdatedGenerated Jul 29, 2026 · 1:04 PM UTC · 86 days ago
This copy is frozen (Jul 29). Sign in to run the same work — filings, valuation, bull and bear, sources — on any US stock or ETF, in about 90 seconds.
Run a fresh dossierCVX
EquityChevron Corporation
Decision context
Recommendation
A mixed picture — no strong reason to buy or sell right now.
AlphaDog Fair Value
Market context
Snapshot returns at report publication
1 month
+9.7%
3 months
+1.5%
6 months
+12.0%
1 year
+19.5%
At a Glance
A very large company is riding a strong uptrend at growth-style pricing.
Top Holders
Executive thesis & key metrics
Executive Thesis
Chevron Corporation (CVX) is a global integrated energy company with a market capitalization of $373.58B and a P/E ratio of 32.68.
Key Metrics to Watch
What changed recently
No material changes found in the last 30 days.
Why this rating
Score 47 · Hold
Data through
OutdatedStatement data date unavailable
Composite 47/100 — no single factor above 75 dominates.
Re-evaluate if
- Net margin falls below 4.7% (was 5.9%)
- Revenue growth YoY accelerates above 0.0% from -6.8%.
- ROA recovers above 5.0% from 3.5%.
Trim / reconsider if
- ROA falls below 2.2% (was 3.5%)
- Net Margin drops below 4.0%
- Debt to Equity exceeds 0.40
Think of these dollars as a map of our value estimate for Hold — helpful context, not a reason to override the view.
A Calmer Look · Devil's Advocate
The consensus 'Hold' verdict dangerously understates the fundamental deterioration at Chevron Corporation, which trades at an inflated P/E of 32.7 despite a -6.8% YoY revenue contraction and a net margin squeeze to 5.9%.
May be overlooked
The consensus ignores the 36.8% YoY decline in Q1 2026 net income from $3,500M down to $2,210M driven directly by $7,676M in elevated operating expenses.
The analysis fails to explain the massive 36.5 percentage point drop between a 42.4% gross margin and a 5.9% net margin, hiding structural corporate overhead.
An abysmal Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 signals severe operational and financial deterioration that the scoring engine completely overlooked by listing zero red flags.
Expectations look stretched
Relying on technical price momentum of 19.5% 1-year price return to justify valuation while top-line revenue contracted -6.8% YoY.
Valuing Chevron at a P/E multiple of 32.7, representing a 66.8% valuation premium over direct peer ConocoPhillips at a P/E of 19.6, while generating an ROA of only 3.5%.
Extrapolating long-term safety from $5.91 FCF/share while key corporate insiders completed net selling of $575,000 over the past 3 months.
Revenue growth YoY accelerates above 0.0% from -6.8%.
Revenue growth YoY accelerates above 0.0% from -6.8%.
Monitor These Triggers
2 Checkpoints · Next PrintRevenue Growth YoY (baseline: -6.8%) and Net Margin (baseline: 5.9%).
Go deeper
For learning and research only — not investment advice. AlphaDog doesn’t hold stocks and isn’t your financial advisor.
Run the next one yourself.
You just read a full CVX dossier — scored verdict, valuation, and both sides, with sources. Sign in to run that on a name you hold, on current filings. A free account includes 10 credits a week, 1 per fresh run.