CRWV · sample dossier
CRWV
34/100
OutdatedGenerated Aug 9, 2026 · 5:54 AM UTC · 89 days ago
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EquityPublic company
Decision context
Recommendation
Weighed down by weak Value (7/100) and Safety (23/100) scores.
A cautious picture — if you own it, consider taking some off.
AlphaDog Fair Value
Executive thesis & key metrics
Executive Investment Thesis
CRWV is a $49.47B market cap provider generating 69.4% gross margin alongside a net margin of -25.6%. YoY revenue growth of 111.6% validates top-line expansion, but an EV/EBITDA of 27.23 and P/E of -33.33 reflect a speculative valuation. Severe balance sheet risk is underscored by a Debt/Equity ratio of 7.39 and an Altman Z-score of 0.62 placing it in the distress zone.
Key Metrics to Watch
What changed recently
No material changes found in the last 30 days.
Why this rating
Score 34 · Sell
Data through
OutdatedMar 31, 2026
Composite 34/100 — weak across most factors.
Levels unavailable — AlphaDog quantitative valuation model did not produce an estimate from comps or DCF
Re-evaluate if
- Net margin falls below -20.5% (was -25.6%)
- Revenue growth falls below 111.6%
- Debt to Equity exceeds 7.39
Trim / reconsider if
- ROA deteriorates below -0.2%
- Net margin deteriorates below -25.6%.
- ROA falls below -0.2%.
Dollar levels aren’t available for this run — the view above still stands.
A Calmer Look · Devil's Advocate
The consensus focuses heavily on top-line hyper-growth of 111.6% YoY and high gross margins of 69.4% to justify a $49.47B market cap, while bears fixate solely on immediate balance sheet distress.
May be overlooked
The consensus ignores severe vendor concentration risk tied to Nvidia Corp holding 47,213,353 shares, exposing hardware allocation vulnerability.
Neither side models the impact of accelerated hardware depreciation on the 69.4% gross margin, which threatens to further depress the -25.6% net margin.
Silence on the Beneish M-score flag obscures potential earnings quality issues underlying negative free cash flow of $-19.13 per share.
Expectations look stretched
Extrapolating 111.6% YoY revenue growth without accounting for 114.6% YoY share dilution that neutralizes top-line expansion per share.
Valuing the equity at 27.2 EV/EBITDA and 10.1 P/B despite an ROA of -0.2% and net margin of -25.6%.
Assuming 69.4% gross profit margin ensures solvency while free cash flow per share remains deeply negative at $-19.13.
Revenue growth YoY decelerates below 111.6%.
Revenue growth YoY decelerates below 111.6%.
Market context
Snapshot returns at report publication
1 month
+1.1%
3 months
-29.6%
6 months
+21.5%
1 year
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At a Glance
A large company is in a pullback at unprofitable earnings.
Top Holders
Go deeper
For learning and research only — not investment advice. AlphaDog doesn’t hold stocks and isn’t your financial advisor.
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