CHPT · sample dossier
ChargePoint Holdings, Inc.
40/100
OutdatedGenerated Aug 29, 2026 · 10:00 AM UTC · 68 days ago
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EquityChargePoint Holdings, Inc.
Decision context
Recommendation
Weighed down by weak Momentum (7/100) and Safety (31/100) scores.
A mixed picture — no strong reason to buy or sell right now.
AlphaDog Fair Value
Executive thesis & key metrics
Executive Thesis
ChargePoint Holdings, Inc. is an EV charging network provider with a market capitalization of $144.25M, trading at $5.57 with negative multiples including a P/E of -0.64 and EV/EBITDA of -1.83.
Key Metrics to Watch
What changed recently
No material changes found in the last 30 days.
Why this rating
Score 40 · Hold
Data through
OutdatedApr 30, 2026
Composite 40/100 — no single factor above 75 dominates.
Re-evaluate if
- Net margin falls below -39.7% (was -49.7%)
Trim / reconsider if
- ROA falls below -15.1%
- Net margin falls below -49.7%
Think of these dollars as a map of our value estimate for Hold — helpful context, not a reason to override the view.
A Calmer Look · Devil's Advocate
The unanimous bear consensus and 'Avoid' verdict anchor too heavily on structural insolvency fears from the -0.09 Altman Z-score without accounting for current cash generation.
May be overlooked
Consensus emphasizes the -0.09 Altman Z-score but fails to reconcile how CHPT generated positive TTM FCF per share of $1.26.
The bear case ignores relative valuation mispricing, pricing CHPT at a $144.25M market cap versus peer EVGO at $434.03M despite CHPT maintaining 30.8% gross margins.
The consensus dismisses 21 insider buy transactions from 2026-07-21 as negligible without evaluating the alignment signaling of zero open-market insider sales.
Expectations look stretched
Bulls over-extrapolate the 1-month price return of 12.5% while ignoring that the stock remains below both MA50 and MA200 with a 3-month return of -25.3%.
Bulls rely on macro EV charging infrastructure adoption narratives without acknowledging CHPT's muted revenue growth of just 4.3% YoY.
EPS growth of 27.1% YoY is praised without addressing that net margin is still deeply negative at -49.7% and ROA sits at -15.1%.
Gross margin falls below 30.8%.
Gross margin falls below 30.8%.
Market context
Snapshot returns at report publication
1 month
+12.5%
3 months
-25.3%
6 months
-11.1%
1 year
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At a Glance
A smaller company is in a pullback at unprofitable earnings.
Top Holders
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