CBRL · sample dossier
Cracker Barrel Old Country Store, Inc,.
47/100
OutdatedGenerated Sep 12, 2026 · 10:00 AM UTC · 55 days ago
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EquityCracker Barrel Old Country Store, Inc,. · XNAS
Decision context
Recommendation
Balanced between moderate Momentum (63/100) and constrained Quality (30/100).
A mixed picture — no strong reason to buy or sell right now.
AlphaDog Fair Value
Executive thesis & key metrics
Executive Investment Thesis
Cracker Barrel Old Country Store, Inc. operates family dining restaurants and retail gift shops with a market capitalization of $1.11B, trading at an EV/EBITDA multiple of 18.25 and a P/E of 43.03. Although EPS growth reached 239.3% YoY, top-line contraction of -2.9% YoY and a net margin of 0.8% warrant caution amid elevated valuation multiples. The single biggest risk is balance sheet strain, evidenced by a Debt/Equity ratio of 2.47, negative FCF/share of -$0.16, and an Altman Z-score of 2.24 in the grey zone.
Key Metrics to Watch
What changed recently
No material changes found in the last 30 days.
Why this rating
Score 47 · Hold
Data through
OutdatedApr 30, 2026
Composite 47/100 — no single factor above 75 dominates.
Re-evaluate if
- Net margin falls below 0.6% (was 0.8%)
Trim / reconsider if
- ROA falls below -0.0% (was -0.0%)
- Debt/Equity rises above 2.47.
Think of these dollars as a map of our value estimate for Hold — helpful context, not a reason to override the view.
A Calmer Look · Devil's Advocate
The consensus verdict of Hold assigns zero red flags to Cracker Barrel despite glaring solvency vulnerabilities and structural top-line deterioration.
May be overlooked
Balance sheet and quarterly earnings data from May 01, 2026 are over 130 days stale relative to the 2026-09-12 analysis date, masking summer 2026 liquidity drawdowns.
Refinancing vulnerability is unmodeled
a Debt/Equity ratio of 2.47 combined with negative FCF per share of -$0.16 leaves the capital structure exposed to higher borrowing costs.
Overhead absorption failure is unaddressed, as operating expenses consume almost the entire 31.6% gross margin to leave a negligible 0.8% net margin.
Expectations look stretched
Treating the 239.3% YoY EPS rebound as sustainable operating leverage while top-line revenue contracted by -2.9% YoY.
Relying on a stale Piotroski F-score of 7/9 to assert operational resilience when trailing ROA is -0.0% and cash conversion is negative.
Media sentiment showing 43 of 45 articles as neutral or bullish despite CBRL trading at a P/E of 43.0 versus peer ARCO at 6.5.
Revenue growth YoY improves above -2.9%.
Revenue growth YoY improves above -2.9%.
Market context
Snapshot returns at report publication
1 month
-15.8%
3 months
+8.7%
6 months
+79.7%
1 year
+0.6%
At a Glance
A smaller company has mixed momentum at premium pricing.
Top Holders
Financial trajectory
Financial Performance
Go deeper
For learning and research only — not investment advice. AlphaDog doesn’t hold stocks and isn’t your financial advisor.
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