BLK · sample dossier
Blackrock, Inc.
68/100
OutdatedGenerated Oct 10, 2026 · 10:00 AM UTC · 3 hours ago
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EquityBlackrock, Inc.XNYS
Decision context
HOLD
66% convictionThe latest quarter is more than 100 days old, so this stays a Hold.
A mixed picture — no strong reason to buy or sell right now.
The stock trades 44.9% above our estimate.
Current price
$1,082.39
Estimated value range
$550.53 – $684.76
Gap vs AlphaDog estimate
-44.9%
Narrow evidence — range rests on a single usable method.
The price is above our estimate, providing little valuation support.
Market context
Price
Price when available
Pick how far back the chart looks
1 month
+1.9%
3 months
+4.9%
6 months
+8.3%
1 year
-7.1%
Financial trajectory
Executive summary & thesis
Blackrock, Inc. is a global investment manager capitalized at $175.86B, trading at an EV/EBITDA of 15.80 and a P/E of 25.91.
- Latest quarter YoY revenue surged 30.6% with 19.6% EPS growth, demonstrating substantial operating leverage across market environments.
- High profitability is underscored by a 24.1% net margin and strong cash generation of $21.35 FCF per share.
- Prudent capital management is reflected in a conservative debt-to-equity ratio of 0.23, providing balance-sheet stability.
- An 8-K restatement flag on June 30, 2026 highlights dilution exposure involving up to 7,606,927 common shares.
- Trailing 1-year returns are down 7.1%, with trading below the 50-day moving average indicating weak tape momentum.
- Net insider activity over the trailing 3 months showed -$12.71M in sales, outpacing concurrent director purchases.
Things to keep in mind
- 1Base target implies 44.9% downsideView source
- 2P/E 25.9xView source
- 3restatementView source
What to watch next
Factor profile
Financially conservative
| Factor | Score |
|---|---|
| Quality | 68 out of 100 (Neutral). Business health — profits, returns, and consistency. Higher means a more durable company. |
| Growth | 70 out of 100 (Strong). How fast sales and earnings are rising. Higher means the business is expanding faster. |
| Value | 65 out of 100 (Neutral). How cheap the stock looks for what you get. Higher means a more attractive price. |
| Safety | 86 out of 100 (Elite). Balance-sheet cushion and fewer red flags. Higher means less risk of a nasty surprise. |
| Momentum | 42 out of 100 (Neutral). Recent share-price trend. Higher means buyers have been in control lately. |
Another way to look at it
A calmer look at both sides of the Blackrock, Inc. story
The prevailing consensus crowns BlackRock a 'Buy' by extrapolating a 30.6% quarterly revenue surge and lean 0.23 debt-to-equity ratio while downplaying severe tape stagnation.
Despite high net margins of 24.1%, an ROA of just 3.7% reveals low capital efficiency across its $175.86B market capitalization. The stock trades at an elevated 25.9 P/E and 15.8 EV/EBITDA multiple even as trailing 1-year returns sit at -7.1% and price languishes below the 50-day moving average. Furthermore, bulls celebrate transaction counts of 12 insider buys while ignoring net insider selling volume of -$12.71M over the last three months. Assuming fee generation can sustainably justify these multiples ignores the stock's negative tape momentum.
An ROA of just 3.7% indicates constrained capital efficiency that fails to support a 2.9 P/B multiple without high leverage.
Bulls focus on 12 insider purchase transactions while omitting the net -$12.71M in total insider sales over the trailing 3 months.
A material discrepancy between the synthesis report ($21.35 FCF per share) and the debate claim ($48.93 FCF per share) masks the actual cash-flow generation run-rate.
Extrapolating 30.6% YoY quarterly revenue growth as ongoing momentum when EPS growth lagged at 19.6%, signaling margin compression under current cost structures.
Justifying a 25.9 P/E multiple primarily by contrasting against unprofitable peers like IVZ (P/E -43.4) and COIN (P/E -46.7).
Pricing BLK at 15.8 EV/EBITDA and 25.9 P/E despite a -7.1% 1-year total return and failure to break above the 50-day moving average.
Revenue Growth (Latest Quarter YoY) decelerates below 30.6%.
Debt/Equity (TTM) increases above 0.23.
Cash after investing
See whether Blackrock, Inc. still makes cash after it spends to grow.
- Revenue Growth (Latest Quarter YoY) decelerates below 30.6%.
- Debt/Equity (TTM) increases above 0.23.
For learning and research only — not investment advice. AlphaDog doesn’t hold stocks and isn’t your financial advisor.
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