BE · sample dossier
Bloom Energy Corporation
59/100
OutdatedGenerated Oct 8, 2026 · 7:06 PM UTC · 10 hours ago
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EquityBloom Energy CorporationXNYS
Decision context
HOLD
35% convictionScore 59 · Hold
A mixed picture — no strong reason to buy or sell right now.
No estimated value range on this report
Current price
$291.29
Estimated value range
—
Gap (vs price at analysis)
—
AlphaDog could not produce an estimate from comps or DCF. Analyst targets are shown separately and are not the AlphaDog estimate.
Estimated value range is unavailable for this instrument.
Market context
Price
Price when available
Pick how far back the chart looks
1 month
+5.1%
3 months
+13.3%
6 months
+98.5%
1 year
+234.9%
Financial trajectory
Executive summary & thesis
Bloom Energy Corporation ($79.48B market cap) manufactures solid oxide fuel cell platforms, trading at an EV/EBITDA of 205.31 and a P/E multiple of 354.91.
- Top-line revenue expanded 165.5% YoY, demonstrating commercial adoption for Bloom Energy Server platforms.
- Trailing 1-year price return reached 234.9%, maintaining upward technical momentum above both 50-day and 200-day moving averages.
- Balance sheet solvency is affirmed by an Altman Z-score of 14.84, indicating low near-term bankruptcy risk.
- Valuation is vulnerable at an extreme P/E ratio of 354.91 and EV/EBITDA of 205.31.
- Shareholder equity experienced dilution with total shares outstanding expanding 23.5% YoY.
- Net insider sales totaled $21.44M over the past 3 months, including CCO Aman Joshi selling $2.34M on 2026-10-01.
Things to keep in mind
- 1P/E 355.1xView source
- 2Debt/Equity 1.72View source
- 3Net margin 7.9%View source
What to watch next
Factor profile
Growth-led profile
| Factor | Score |
|---|---|
| Quality | 58 out of 100 (Neutral). Business health — profits, returns, and consistency. Higher means a more durable company. |
| Growth | 100 out of 100 (Elite). How fast sales and earnings are rising. Higher means the business is expanding faster. |
| Value | 0 out of 100 (Weak). How cheap the stock looks for what you get. Higher means a more attractive price. |
| Safety | 48 out of 100 (Neutral). Balance-sheet cushion and fewer red flags. Higher means less risk of a nasty surprise. |
| Momentum | 100 out of 100 (Elite). Recent share-price trend. Higher means buyers have been in control lately. |
Another way to look at it
A calmer look at both sides of the Bloom Energy Corporation story
The consensus verdict of a balanced 'Hold' or 'DRAW' grossly underestimates the fragility of an equity priced at a 354.9 P/E and 49.1 P/B.
Paying an EV/EBITDA of 205.3 for a capital-intensive manufacturer generating a modest 7.9% net margin and 5.6% ROA leaves zero margin of safety. While top-line growth reached 165.5% YoY, shareholders are being systematically diluted by a 23.5% annual expansion in shares outstanding alongside a 1.7 Debt/Equity ratio. Furthermore, a sub-par Piotroski F-score of 4/9 reveals that operational quality is deteriorating behind reported GAAP figures. Insiders clearly recognize this disconnect, executing $21.44M in net divestments over the trailing three months while public markets chase a 234.9% one-year price surge.
The consensus ignores the low Piotroski F-score of 4/9, which signals deteriorating internal operating efficiency and earnings quality despite the 165.5% YoY revenue growth.
The 23.5% YoY expansion in shares outstanding severely dilutes per-share compounding, neutralizing much of the top-line operational acceleration for equity holders.
Balance sheet leverage is dismissed due to an Altman Z-score of 14.84, ignoring that a Debt/Equity ratio of 1.7 paired with a modest 5.6% ROA exposes the capital structure to refinancing risk.
Extrapolating a 165.5% top-line growth rate to rationalize an extreme 354.9 P/E multiple presumes perpetual execution without product cycle normalization.
Trading at an EV/EBITDA of 205.3 and P/B of 49.1 prices in structural software-like profitability rather than Bloom's actual 7.9% net margin.
Bulls celebrate $1.81 to $1.93 in free cash flow per share while disregarding $21.44M in net insider selling over the past 3 months, led by CCO Aman Joshi dumping $2.34M on 2026-10-01.
Revenue growth YoY drops below the 165.5% mark.
Debt/Equity ratio rises above 1.72.
Cash after investing
See whether Bloom Energy Corporation still makes cash after it spends to grow.
- Revenue growth YoY drops below the 165.5% mark.
- Debt/Equity ratio rises above 1.72.
- Gross margin falls below 31.7%.
Monitor these triggers
3 checkpoints before the next earnings print
Revenue Growth YoY relative to the 165.5% baseline.
Net margin declines below 7.9% into negative territory.
Revenue growth YoY falls below 165.5% alongside gross margin contraction below 31.7%.
Debt/Equity rises significantly above 1.72.
For learning and research only — not investment advice. AlphaDog doesn’t hold stocks and isn’t your financial advisor.
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